Market
Outcome of Legal Challenges to Federal Executions by End of 2025?
3
Joe Biden•Dzhokhar Tsarnaev•Boston Marathon bombing•Dylann Roof•Charleston church shooting•Robert Bowers•Biden•Donald Trump•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Federal Executions Halted • 25%
Federal Executions Proceed • 25%
Ongoing Legal Battle • 25%
No Legal Challenge • 25%
Court rulings or official announcements from the Department of Justice
Story
Biden Commutes 37 Federal Death Sentences to Life Terms Before Trump's Inauguration
Dec 23, 2024, 10:11 AM
President Joe Biden has commuted the sentences of 37 of the 40 inmates on federal death row, converting their punishments to life imprisonment without the possibility of parole. The three inmates excluded from the commutation are Dzhokhar Tsarnaev, convicted in the Boston Marathon bombing; Dylann Roof, who perpetrated the Charleston church shooting; and Robert Bowers, responsible for the Tree of Life Synagogue mass shooting. Biden cited moral and policy objections to capital punishment and took this action to prevent President-elect Donald Trump from resuming federal executions, which had been halted under the Biden administration. Death penalty opponents and human rights organizations had urged Biden to act before leaving office. Biden's move comes after Trump conducted 13 federal executions during his first term, more than under any president in modern history.
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Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Case dismissed • 25%
Clemency overturned • 25%
No legal challenge filed • 25%
Clemency upheld • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
States increase death penalty use • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
States maintain current policies • 25%
States decrease death penalty use • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Pardon upheld • 25%
No legal challenges • 25%
Pardon overturned • 25%
0 • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
6-10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
None executed by deadline • 1%
Dzhokhar Tsarnaev • 33%
Robert Bowers • 33%
Dylann Roof • 33%
Increased federal executions • 25%
More states abolish the death penalty • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Federal abolition enacted • 25%