Market
Outcome of federal intervention in NY drone issue by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased federal presence • 25%
New federal regulations • 25%
State-led initiatives • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Reports from federal agencies and New York state government announcements
Story
Gov. Hochul Calls for Federal Intervention After Drones Shut Down Stewart Airfield in Orange County
Dec 14, 2024, 08:35 PM
New York Governor Kathy Hochul has called for federal intervention after drone activity forced the closure of runways at Stewart Airfield in Orange County for approximately one hour on Friday night. The incident, part of a series of mysterious drone sightings across New York and neighboring states, has raised concerns about public safety and critical infrastructure security. Hochul has urged Congress to pass legislation that would grant state law enforcement the authority to engage in counter-drone activities and has demanded that the Biden administration deploy additional federal law enforcement to New York to address the issue. Despite the White House's assertion that many sightings are likely of lawful manned aircraft, Hochul insists that the situation has escalated beyond acceptable limits, prompting her to seek stronger federal action and oversight.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increased enforcement • 25%
Regulatory changes • 25%
Legislative action • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Cause remains unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Identified as domestic activity • 25%
Identified as hobbyist activity • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Identified but not apprehended • 25%
No identification made • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Identified and apprehended operators • 25%
Identified as recreational use • 25%
Unidentified • 25%
Identified as foreign surveillance • 25%
Identified as commercial activity • 25%
Operator remains unidentified • 25%
Identified domestic operator • 25%
Other explanation • 25%
Identified foreign operator • 25%
Domestic origin • 25%
Unknown origin • 25%
Hoax or misinformation • 25%
Foreign origin • 25%
Drones unidentified • 25%
Drones identified but not neutralized • 25%
Drones identified and neutralized • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
No operators identified • 25%
Identified as foreign operators • 25%
Identified as domestic private operators • 25%
Source remains unidentified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Identified as a domestic entity • 25%
Identified as a foreign entity • 25%
Other • 25%
New regulations enacted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Increased enforcement actions • 25%