Market
Organization leading Syrian refugee returns by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
International NGOs • 25%
Reports and press releases from international organizations
Story
UN Projects One Million Syrian Refugees to Return to Syria in First Half of 2025 Following Bashar al-Assad's Regime Collapse
Dec 17, 2024, 11:45 AM
The United Nations has projected that approximately one million Syrian refugees are expected to return to Syria in the first half of 2025. This estimate comes in light of the ongoing political changes within the country, particularly following the collapse of President Bashar al-Assad's regime. The UN's refugee agency has urged countries to avoid forced repatriations of these individuals. The announcement reflects a broader context where thousands of refugees have already returned to Syria since the beginning of the transitional phase, while others continue to flee the country. The UN's call for voluntary returns emphasizes the need for a safe and dignified process for those considering going back to their homeland.
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Similar markets
Other NGOs • 25%
Red Cross • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
UNHCR • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Moderate Increase in Returns • 25%
Significant Increase in Returns • 25%
No Change in Return Rates • 25%
Decrease in Return Rates • 25%
NGO B • 25%
Other • 25%
NGO A • 25%
NGO C • 25%
Improved security • 25%
Improved safety in Syria • 25%
Family reunification • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Economic opportunities • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Lebanon • 25%
Jordan • 25%
Other • 25%