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On what conditions will U.S. military aid to Ukraine be contingent by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Conscription Age Change • 25%
Anti-Corruption Measures • 25%
None • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. government statements or reputable news sources
Story
Trump Adviser Mike Waltz Urges Ukraine to Lower Mobilization Age to 18, Citing Manpower Issues and Military Aid Conditions
Jan 12, 2025, 04:06 PM
Mike Waltz, national security adviser to former President Donald Trump, has suggested that Ukraine should lower its conscription age to 18 years. Waltz highlighted that Kyiv is facing serious manpower issues, as its current draft age is not even 18. He stated, "If Ukrainians are calling on the whole world to support democracy 'all-in', then they should act accordingly." This statement reflects a broader discussion regarding Ukraine's military preparedness and the potential conditions for continued military aid from the U.S. The former foreign minister of Ukraine, Dmytro Kuleba, indicated that any reduction in the mobilization age would likely be by only 1-2 years, rather than a full drop to 18. The situation underscores the ongoing challenges Ukraine faces in stabilizing its front lines amid the conflict with Russia.
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Other conditions • 25%
Reform in military operations • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Lower conscription age • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
No change • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Aid stopped completely • 25%
Aid remains unchanged • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Complete cessation • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Maintain current levels • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
No Change • 25%
Moderately Improved • 25%
Significantly Improved • 25%
Deteriorated • 25%
Aid remains the same • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Aid is suspended • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
