Market
Number of Russia-Ukraine prisoner swaps by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
One • 25%
Two • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Official announcements from Russian or Ukrainian government agencies or credible international news sources
Story
Russia and Ukraine Conduct First Swap in Months, Exchange 150 Prisoners Each Mediated by UAE
Dec 30, 2024, 02:45 PM
Russia and Ukraine have conducted their first prisoner swap in over two months, exchanging 150 prisoners of war each in a deal mediated by the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The Russian Defense Ministry announced on December 30, 2024, that 150 Russian soldiers were returned from Ukrainian captivity, while 150 Ukrainian soldiers were released to Ukraine. The UAE provided humanitarian mediation efforts to facilitate the exchange, which comes amid ongoing conflict between the two nations.
View original story
Similar markets
300 or more • 25%
200 to 299 • 25%
100 to 199 • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
More than 25 each • 25%
Less than 25 each • 25%
Exactly 25 each • 25%
No exchange by deadline • 25%
Less than 100 each side • 25%
300 or more each side • 25%
200-299 each side • 25%
100-199 each side • 25%
75 or more • 25%
50-74 • 25%
Less than 25 • 25%
25-49 • 25%
More than 1000 • 25%
501-1000 • 25%
100-500 • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
25-50 prisoners exchanged • 25%
Less than 25 prisoners exchanged • 25%
No exchange • 25%
More than 50 prisoners exchanged • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
