Market
Next Fed Vice Chair for Supervision appointed by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Lael Brainard • 25%
Randal Quarles • 25%
Raphael Bostic • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcement from the Federal Reserve or credible news sources
Story
Michael Barr to Step Down as Fed's Vice Chair for Supervision on February 28, 2025, Avoiding Clash with Trump
Jan 6, 2025, 04:02 PM
Michael Barr, the Federal Reserve's vice chair for supervision, has announced his intention to step down from his role effective February 28, 2025. Barr will continue to serve as a governor on the Federal Reserve Board until his term expires in January 2032. His decision to resign from the vice chair position comes amid speculation that advisers to President-elect Donald Trump had considered demoting him. Barr's departure is seen as a move to avoid potential conflict with the incoming administration, which may seek to appoint more bank-friendly regulators. The Federal Reserve has indicated that it will not make major decisions on rules and regulations until a successor is named, as it continues to revise the Basel endgame rules, which have faced industry opposition.
View original story
Similar markets
John Doe • 25%
Other • 25%
Michael Johnson • 25%
Jane Smith • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Crypto-friendly candidate • 25%
Regulation hardliner • 25%
Moderate candidate • 25%
Other • 25%
Judy Shelton • 25%
Neel Kashkari • 25%
Other • 25%
Randal Quarles • 25%
Other • 25%
Candidate C • 25%
Candidate A • 25%
Candidate B • 25%
Powell reappointed • 25%
Acting Chair appointed • 25%
New Chair appointed • 25%
Other • 25%
Current Deputy Secretary • 25%
Former Treasury official • 25%
New appointee from outside Treasury • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 1%
William McLucas • 33%
Paul Atkins • 33%
Dan Gallagher • 33%