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New Glenn inaugural launch delayed post-clearance?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from Blue Origin or verified reports from space agencies and news outlets
Story
Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin Secures Clearance for New Glenn Rocket Launch After Final Pre-Launch Tests
Dec 31, 2024, 03:22 PM
Blue Origin, the aerospace company founded by Jeff Bezos, has received clearance for the inaugural launch of its New Glenn rocket. The company has completed final pre-launch tests, including an integrated hot fire test of the vehicle, and is now preparing for its first attempt to reach orbit. The launch campaign is set to begin in the coming week, marking a significant milestone in Blue Origin's efforts to establish a presence in the competitive space launch market.
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Before January 31, 2025 • 25%
April 2025 or later • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
4-7 days delay • 25%
8-14 days delay • 25%
More than 14 days delay • 25%
0-3 days delay • 25%
Subsystem issue • 25%
Weather conditions • 25%
Technical malfunction • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Launch postponed • 25%
Successful launch • 25%
Partial success • 25%
April 2025 • 25%
February 2025 • 25%
March 2025 • 25%
May 2025 or later • 25%