Market
Main reason for IRS agent policy change by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Legislative Action • 25%
Executive Order • 25%
Public Pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Analysis from credible political analysts or government statements
Story
Trump at Las Vegas Rally Vows to Terminate 88,000 IRS Agents Hired Under Biden or Reassign Them to Border
Jan 26, 2025, 12:03 AM
President Donald Trump, speaking at a rally in Las Vegas, announced plans to either terminate approximately 88,000 IRS agents hired under the Biden administration or reassign them to border patrol duties. He criticized the hiring of these agents, suggesting they could be more effectively utilized to bolster border security. Trump noted that since many of these agents carry guns, they would be suitable for enforcement roles at the border. He also mentioned the possibility of demanding their resignation or defunding the IRS altogether.
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Other • 25%
Economic Improvement • 25%
Political Pressure • 25%
Operational Necessity • 25%
Tax Reform • 25%
Tax Enforcement • 25%
Digital Transformation • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Mixed outcome • 25%
All reassigned • 25%
All terminated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Forced resignations • 25%
Reassigned to border duties • 25%
Plan abandoned • 25%
Program modified • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Program ended • 25%
Program continues unchanged • 25%
Republicans oppose, Democrats support • 25%
Other configurations • 25%
Both parties oppose • 25%
Both parties support • 25%
Administrative tasks • 25%
Other duties • 25%
Border security • 25%
Support roles • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Oppose proposal • 25%
Support elimination • 25%
Support reassignment • 25%
