Market
Legal status of Leopoldo López in Spain by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Granted asylum • 25%
Extradition proceedings initiated • 25%
Remains in exile without asylum • 25%
Deported to another country • 25%
Official statements from Spanish authorities or court rulings
Story
Venezuela Requests Interpol Red Notice for Opposition Leader Leopoldo López in Exile
Jan 13, 2025, 04:48 PM
Venezuela's Attorney General, Tarek William Saab, has announced a new arrest warrant and requested a 'red notice' from Interpol against opposition leader Leopoldo López, who is currently living in exile in Spain. López is accused of instigating armed actions against Venezuela. The request for his arrest and the Interpol red notice are part of a broader effort by the Venezuelan government to pursue opposition figures abroad.
View original story
Similar markets
Granted asylum • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
Extradition to Venezuela • 25%
Other • 25%
Escaped • 25%
Still detained • 25%
Released unharmed • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Upheld • 25%
Challenged • 25%
Revoked • 25%
Recognized as Venezuelan President • 25%
Other political role or status • 25%
Arrested or detained • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Exiled from Venezuela • 25%
Recognized as Venezuela's president • 25%
Continues as opposition leader • 25%
Arrested or detained • 25%
Diosdado Cabello • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
None • 25%
Vladimir Padrino López • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Remains MEP • 25%
Resigns Voluntarily • 25%
Suspended/Removed • 25%
Forced to Resign • 25%
No resolution by end of 2025 • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Conviction • 25%