Market
Leader of the thwarted assault on Chad's presidential palace identified by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Local insurgent leader • 25%
Foreign mercenary • 25%
No clear leader identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Official government reports or reputable news sources
Story
Chad Thwarts Assault by 24 Armed Individuals on Presidential Palace, 19 Killed
Jan 9, 2025, 06:20 AM
Chad's government reported thwarting an armed assault on the presidential palace in N'Djamena, resulting in the deaths of 19 individuals, including 18 attackers and one security officer. The attack was carried out by a group of 24 armed individuals on Wednesday evening, shortly after a visit by China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi, who met with President Mahamat Idriss Deby. The government stated that the situation was quickly brought under control, with six attackers captured and three security officers injured. The attack was described as a 'destabilization attempt' by a disorganized group, potentially under the influence of drugs and alcohol, rather than an organized terrorist group like Boko Haram.
View original story
Similar markets
Local political opposition • 25%
Foreign government • 25%
Independent militia • 25%
Unknown • 25%
Identified as local disorganized group • 25%
No conclusive outcome • 25%
Linked to organized crime • 25%
Linked to foreign entity • 25%
Other • 25%
Boko Haram • 25%
Local insurgents • 25%
Foreign mercenaries • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No major action • 25%
Curfews imposed • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Successor from Patriotic Salvation Movement • 25%
Other • 25%
Mahamat Idriss Deby • 25%
Opposition Leader • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic action • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
Public condemnation • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Increased military presence in N'Djamena • 25%
Diplomatic engagement with neighboring countries • 25%
Implementation of new security policies • 25%