Market
Lead agency for potential security review at U.S. Capitol by Mar 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
U.S. Capitol Police • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Federal Bureau of Investigation • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from federal agencies or the U.S. Capitol Police
Story
Man Arrested with Machete and Knives at U.S. Capitol Ahead of Trump's Visit
Jan 8, 2025, 09:06 PM
On Wednesday afternoon, U.S. Capitol Police arrested a man who attempted to bring a machete and three knives into the Capitol Visitor Center. The incident occurred shortly after 2:00 p.m. during routine security screening when officers spotted the weapons in the man's bag via the X-ray machine. The man was immediately taken into custody and charged with multiple counts of carrying dangerous weapons. The Capitol Visitor Center was particularly busy as members of the public were paying respects to former President Jimmy Carter, who was lying in state. The arrest took place just hours before President Donald Trump was scheduled to visit the Capitol.
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Other • 25%
U.S. Capitol Police • 25%
FBI • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Other • 25%
Capitol Police • 25%
House Administration Committee • 25%
Senate Security Committee • 25%
Joint task force • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Local New Orleans authorities • 25%
FBI • 25%
Enhanced Surveillance • 25%
Road Closures • 25%
No Changes • 25%
Increased Patrols • 25%
Implementation of new surveillance technologies • 25%
Increased physical barriers • 25%
Increased police presence • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased Patrols • 25%
New Barriers • 25%
Technology Upgrades • 25%
Other • 25%
General security threats • 25%
Incidents involving firearms or ammunition • 25%
Other • 25%
Technological upgrades • 25%