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J. Ann Selzer faces legal action over Iowa poll by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
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Court filings or official legal announcements
Story
Trump to Sue Des Moines Register and Ann Selzer Over 16-Point Off Iowa Poll for Election Interference
Dec 16, 2024, 05:20 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to sue the Des Moines Register and pollster J. Ann Selzer over a poll that inaccurately predicted Vice President Kamala Harris would lead him by three points in Iowa just days before the election. Despite the poll's findings, Trump won the state by over 13 percentage points. Selzer, who had a nearly spotless track record in Iowa, announced her retirement from polling following the election. Trump has labeled the poll as 'election interference' and 'fraud,' asserting that it caused 'great distrust and uncertainty at a very critical time.' The poll was off by 16 points, and Selzer has defended herself against allegations of manipulating data, calling the accusations baseless and expressing her mystification at the claims of election interference.
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Methodological errors identified • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
Evidence of interference found • 25%
Fined • 25%
Other consequences • 25%
Barred from polling • 25%
No consequences • 25%
Trump loses the lawsuit • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Lawsuit not filed • 25%
Trump wins the lawsuit • 25%
No impact • 25%
Cease operations • 25%
Change in methodology • 25%
Reduction in polling activities • 25%
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Yes • 50%
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Dismissed • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Des Moines Register and Selzer • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Trump • 25%
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