Market
Investigation into Azerbaijan Airlines crash completed by June 30, 2025?
3
Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190•Baku•Grozny•Chechnya•Russia•Aktau Airport•Kazakhstan•Ministry of Emergency Situations•Brazilian•Embraer•Azerbaijan•Kyrgyzstan
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statement from the Kazakhstan Ministry of Emergency Situations or relevant aviation authority
Story
Azerbaijan Airlines Plane from Baku to Grozny Crashes in Kazakhstan; 38 Dead, 29 Survive
Dec 25, 2024, 02:24 PM
An Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190 passenger plane flying from Baku to Grozny, Chechnya, Russia, crashed near Aktau Airport in Kazakhstan on Wednesday while attempting an emergency landing, according to Kazakhstan's Ministry of Emergency Situations. The aircraft, manufactured by Brazilian company Embraer, was carrying 67 people, including five crew members. At least 38 people were killed, and 29 survived the crash. The passengers included citizens from Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, and Russia. The cause of the accident is under investigation, with reports indicating the plane veered from its scheduled route.
View original story
Similar markets
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Shot down by Russian defenses • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Joint responsibility acknowledged • 25%
Russia admits guilt • 25%
Russia denies involvement • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Missile strike confirmed • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Negligence • 25%
Sabotage • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Russian air defense responsible • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%
Other cause • 25%
Russian air defense systems responsible • 25%
Technical failure of aircraft • 25%