Market
International response to China's alleged drone shipment to Libya by end of 2025?
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China•92 Wing Loong•Libya•Libyan•Canada•Royal Canadian Mounted Police•RCMP•International Civil Aviation Organization•ICAO
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions against China • 25%
Condemnation without sanctions • 25%
No formal response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Statements from international bodies such as the UN or NATO
Story
China Planned Shipment of 92 Wing Loong Drones Worth $1 Billion to Libya, Disguised as COVID Aid, Investigated by Canada's RCMP
Dec 30, 2024, 01:18 PM
China is reportedly involved in a scheme to send 92 Wing Loong armed drones, valued at $1 billion, to Libya. The operation, which aimed to circumvent an international arms ban, was to be conducted through a UK-based shell company. The drones were disguised as COVID-19 assistance and were intended to be exchanged for discounted Libyan crude oil. The plan is under investigation by Canada's Royal Canadian Mounted Police (RCMP). Allegations suggest that three individuals connected to the International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) were involved in negotiating the deal.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Military intervention • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions on China • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
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Diplomatic protest • 25%
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UN condemnation • 25%
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Support from US • 25%
Condemnation of Ukraine • 25%
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Call for peace talks • 25%
Condemnation of Russia • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
No significant response • 25%