Market
International Response to Ceasefire Collapse by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN intervention • 25%
EU diplomatic action • 25%
US military support to Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Statements from the United Nations, European Union, United States, and other relevant international bodies
Story
Israeli Defense Minister Katz Warns of Wider Strikes on Lebanon if Hezbollah Ceasefire Fails
Dec 3, 2024, 10:45 AM
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz has issued a stern warning to Lebanon, stating that if the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hezbollah collapses, Israel will no longer differentiate between Lebanon and Hezbollah in its military operations. Katz emphasized that there would be 'no tolerance' for the Lebanese state if the truce fails, implying that the entire country could face repercussions. This statement was made from Israel's northern border, highlighting the potential for broader military engagement in the region. The ceasefire is critical in maintaining peace, and its failure could lead to significant consequences for Lebanon, as Israel would hold the Lebanese government accountable for Hezbollah's actions.
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Broad support • 25%
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Criticized by major powers • 25%
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