Market
International backlash on U.S. WHO withdrawal by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
International news reports and statements from foreign governments or international organizations
Story
Trump's Transition Team Plans U.S. Withdrawal from WHO on January 20, Citing Global Health Financing Concerns
Dec 22, 2024, 09:27 AM
Donald Trump's transition team is reportedly planning to withdraw the United States from the World Health Organization (WHO) on January 20, the day of his inauguration. This move, as outlined in reports from the Financial Times, aims to end U.S. membership and funding to the WHO, which Trump has previously criticized for being influenced by China. Experts have expressed concerns that such a withdrawal could have detrimental effects on global health financing and leadership, particularly in responding to public health crises. Trump's administration had previously initiated the process to leave the WHO in 2020 amid the COVID-19 pandemic, citing the organization's alleged mismanagement and ties to China.
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Form alternative health coalition • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Increase funding to WHO • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased funding to WHO • 25%
Calls for reform in WHO • 25%
Formation of alternative health alliances • 25%
Increased support for WHO • 25%
Other reaction • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Criticism of U.S. decision • 25%
U.S. reverses decision • 25%
U.S. fully withdraws • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. negotiates new terms with WHO • 25%
Other responses • 25%
Criticism of the U.S. decision • 25%
Calls for increased funding from other nations • 25%
Plans for restructuring WHO funding • 25%
Reversal of decision • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Completion of withdrawal • 25%
Formal negotiations initiated • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
No noticeable impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Initiate dialogue with US • 25%
Implement policy changes • 25%
Seek new partnerships • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Publicly criticize the U.S. decision • 25%
Increase outreach to other countries • 25%
Adjust funding strategies • 25%
No significant action • 25%
No discernible impact • 25%
Minimal impact, operations continue smoothly • 25%
Moderate impact with some initiatives affected • 25%
Severe impact on global health initiatives • 25%
