Market
How will U.S. military engagements in the Red Sea region change by December 31, 2025, following the incident?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased operations • 25%
Decreased operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Official U.S. Department of Defense announcements or credible news reports
Story
U.S. Navy F/A-18F Shot Down by USS Gettysburg Near Yemen; Both Pilots Safe
Dec 22, 2024, 06:48 AM
A U.S. Navy F/A-18F Super Hornet from the aircraft carrier USS Harry S. Truman was accidentally shot down over the Red Sea near Yemen early Sunday at approximately 3 a.m. local time in an apparent friendly fire incident, the U.S. military said. The Ticonderoga-class guided-missile cruiser USS Gettysburg mistakenly fired on and hit the jet, which was conducting operations targeting Yemen's Houthi rebels. Both pilots ejected safely and were recovered, with one suffering minor injuries. U.S. Central Command has launched an investigation into the incident, marking the most serious mishap involving U.S. forces in the region in over a year.
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Deployment of new technology • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Revised engagement protocols • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Russia • 25%
Saudi Arabia • 25%
United States • 25%
Iran • 25%
No change • 34%
Increased presence • 33%
Decreased presence • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Decreased presence • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other entity • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No change • 25%
Increase in presence • 25%
New strategic deployments • 25%
Decrease in presence • 25%