Market
How will the tensions between Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy resolve by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Resolved amicably • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Public fallout • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from either party or credible media reports
Story
Elon Musk Joins Trump Administration as DOGE Head, Tesla Shares Surge
Jan 26, 2025, 01:59 PM
Elon Musk has emerged as a key political figure in Donald Trump's second presidential administration, having spent $277 million of his own funds to support Trump's re-election. Musk now holds a formal role as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), where he aims to cut $2 trillion from the U.S. budget, focusing on eliminating diversity, equity, and inclusion initiatives. Tesla shares surged to record highs following Trump's re-election, reflecting investor confidence in Musk's potential financial gains. Musk has also advocated for preserving skilled immigration categories like H1-B visas, despite his broader anti-immigration stance. Tensions have reportedly arisen between Musk and other MAGA figures, including a fallout with DOGE co-lead Vivek Ramaswamy, raising concerns about the stability of his alliance with Trump. Musk's political shift, marked by his embrace of far-right ideologies and controversial online persona, has drawn scrutiny, as has his use of social media to amplify polarizing narratives. Observers suggest that the Musk-Trump partnership could significantly influence U.S. politics and business in the coming years.
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Similar markets
Ongoing • 25%
Musk wins • 25%
Altman wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Bannon prevails • 25%
Conflict remains unresolved • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Musk prevails • 25%
Accept Senate seat • 25%
Other • 25%
Run for Ohio Governor in 2026 • 25%
Focus on DOGE role • 25%
Withdraws from politics • 25%
Announces candidacy but for a different position • 25%
Does not announce candidacy • 25%
Announces candidacy • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Runs for Ohio Governor • 25%
Joins a political organization • 25%
No political move announced • 25%
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Conflict resolved amicably • 25%
Musk retains influence despite Bannon's efforts • 25%
Bannon succeeds in limiting Musk's influence • 25%
Musk leaves government role • 25%
Other • 25%
Wiles maintains control • 25%
Musk regains influence • 25%
Relationship remains the same • 25%
Relationship strengthens • 25%
Relationship weakens • 25%
Relationship ends • 25%
Bannon's influence declines further • 25%
Bannon gains significant political influence • 25%
Bannon's campaign has no impact • 25%
Other • 25%