Market
How will the number of gay men entering seminaries in Italy change during the 3-year trial period by January 2028?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by over 50% • 25%
Increase by 25-50% • 25%
Remain stable • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Reports from the Italian Bishops Conference (CEI) or Vatican statistics
Story
Vatican Approves Guidelines for Gay Men to Train as Priests in Italy, With Celibacy Required for 3-Year Trial
Jan 10, 2025, 08:32 PM
The Vatican has approved new guidelines from the Italian Bishops Conference (CEI) that allow gay men to enter seminaries and train to become priests in Italy, provided they remain celibate. The guidelines emphasize the importance of demonstrating an orientation towards a celibate life from the outset of seminary training. However, the Church will not admit individuals who practice homosexuality, have deeply rooted homosexual tendencies, or support what it refers to as 'gay culture.' The new rules, effective immediately, will be subject to review after a three-year trial period. This move reflects a nuanced shift under Pope Francis, who has sought to foster a more inclusive environment within the Catholic Church, despite past controversies, including his use of offensive language towards the gay community.
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Similar markets
Increase in enrollment • 25%
Decrease in enrollment • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not released • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No decision made by deadline • 25%
Guidelines extended with modifications • 25%
Guidelines extended without changes • 25%
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Focus on environmental issues • 25%
No major policy change • 25%
Further inclusion of LGBTQ+ individuals • 25%
Stricter guidelines on celibacy • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant statements • 25%
Mostly supportive • 25%
Mostly critical • 25%
Divided opinions • 25%
Widespread rejection • 25%
No official response • 25%
Widespread acceptance • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%