Market
How will the international community respond to the UK's decision on HTS by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Support the decision • 25%
Condemn the decision • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No response • 25%
Statements from the UN, EU, or other major countries
Story
UK Considers Lifting 2017 Terrorist Designation of Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) After Assad Ouster
Dec 9, 2024, 07:39 AM
The UK government is contemplating the removal of Hayat al-Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) from its list of proscribed terrorist organizations. HTS, which has been banned since 2017 due to its association with al-Qaeda, has played a significant role in the Syrian conflict, particularly in the overthrow of President Bashar al-Assad. Senior Cabinet minister Pat McFadden indicated that the government would need to reassess HTS's classification, citing a 'splintering' between HTS and al-Qaeda. No formal decision has been made yet regarding the lifting of the ban.
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Supportive • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
New sanctions imposed • 25%
No major response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Remains listed • 25%
Delisted • 25%
Status under review • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
EU supports US decision • 25%
UN supports US decision • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Russia condemns US decision • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Review postponed • 25%
HTS removed from list • 25%
HTS remains on list • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Withdrawal of diplomatic engagement • 25%
Formal recognition of HTS • 25%
Imposition of sanctions • 25%
Continued diplomatic contact without recognition • 25%