Market
How will the intelligence activity accusations between Algeria and France be resolved by December 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Mutual Agreement • 25%
Ongoing Dispute • 25%
Third-party Mediation • 25%
No Resolution • 25%
Official announcements from the Algerian or French governments, or international organizations
Story
Algeria Summons French Ambassador Stéphane Romatet Over Intelligence Activity Accusations, Claims Confirmed Evidence
Dec 15, 2024, 12:40 PM
The Algerian Ministry of Foreign Affairs has summoned French Ambassador Stéphane Romatet amid serious accusations of French intelligence activities aimed at destabilizing Algeria. The ministry claims to have 'confirmed evidence' of orchestrated actions that undermine Algeria's sovereignty. This diplomatic reprimand follows a recent documentary alleging involvement by the French intelligence service in plots against Algeria. In response, French officials have dismissed the allegations as unfounded. The situation marks a significant escalation in tensions between Algeria and France, reflecting ongoing concerns over foreign interference in national affairs.
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Other • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Escalation to international bodies • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Status quo • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Severed relations • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support for Algeria • 25%
Other • 25%
Support for France • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Confirmed manipulation • 25%
France remains silent • 25%
France denies Lavrov's claims • 25%
France issues a contradictory statement • 25%
France confirms Lavrov's claims • 25%
No significant action • 25%
EU sanctions • 25%
Bilateral negotiations • 25%
UN resolution • 25%
All three citizens released • 25%
Some citizens released • 25%
No citizens released • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%