Market
How will the Honda-Nissan merger affect Japan's global automotive market share by 2026?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by over 5% • 25%
Increase by 1-5% • 25%
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Global automotive market share reports from reputable industry analysts or financial publications
Story
Honda and Nissan to Merge by 2026, Form World's No. 3 Automaker
Dec 23, 2024, 02:03 PM
Japanese automakers Honda Motor Co. and Nissan Motor Corp. have announced plans to merge, forming a joint holding company in a move that would create the world's third-largest automaker by sales. The companies aim to finalize the deal by June and complete the merger by 2026, as they navigate tectonic shifts in the automotive industry, including the transition toward electric vehicles and sustainability. Mitsubishi Motors, in which Nissan holds a 24.5% stake, is expected to join the merger discussions. The consolidation aims to bolster Japan's position in the global market as the industry moves away from fossil fuels.
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Becomes second-largest or larger • 25%
Becomes third-largest automaker • 25%
Remains below third-largest • 25%
Fails to merge • 25%
Remain third • 25%
Drop to fourth or lower • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increase to second place • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase by over 5% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by 1-5% • 25%
Nissan surpasses Honda • 25%
Both remain unchanged • 25%
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Honda surpasses Nissan • 25%
6th to 10th • 25%
Outside top 10 • 25%
Top 3 • 25%
4th to 5th • 25%
25-27 trillion yen • 25%
More than 30 trillion yen • 25%
27-30 trillion yen • 25%
Less than 25 trillion yen • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Partial merger or partnership • 25%
Merger postponed • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Merger postponed • 25%
Merger modified to include other partners • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Price competition intensifies • 25%
Increase in R&D investment • 25%
Strategic alliances formed • 25%
Lower than 5th place • 25%
5th place • 25%
4th place • 25%
3rd place • 25%
Merger delayed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partnership without merger • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Partial merger or partnership • 25%
Merger completed • 25%
Merger abandoned • 25%
Merger delayed • 25%