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How will Palestinian groups be involved in the Gaza ceasefire by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
All groups agree to ceasefire • 25%
Some groups agree to ceasefire • 25%
No groups agree to ceasefire • 25%
Groups split on ceasefire terms • 25%
Official announcements by Palestinian authorities or major news outlets
Story
Hamas Claims Gaza Ceasefire Deal Closer Than Ever Before Year-End, Conditional on Israel's Terms
Dec 21, 2024, 03:11 PM
Hamas and two other Palestinian militant groups have announced that a ceasefire agreement in Gaza is closer than ever, contingent upon Israel refraining from imposing new conditions. This statement follows a meeting in Cairo, where representatives from Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and the Popular Front for the Liberation of Palestine (PFLP) discussed the ongoing conflict and negotiations. Hamas emphasized that the deal could materialize before the end of the year if Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu does not introduce additional stipulations. The groups expressed optimism about the potential for a ceasefire and a hostage deal, marking a notable shift in the dialogue surrounding the conflict.
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Arab League • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
NATO • 25%
Hamas • 25%
PFLP • 25%
Israeli Government • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
UN involvement • 25%
No additional international involvement • 25%
US involvement • 25%
EU involvement • 25%
Jerusalem • 25%
Other • 25%
Doha • 25%
Cairo • 25%
Other countries involved • 25%
No mediation • 25%
Egypt and Qatar only • 25%
United States involvement • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Permanent ceasefire • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Temporary ceasefire • 25%
No ceasefire • 25%