Market
How will other states react to the Texas lawsuit by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Strengthen shield laws • 25%
Weaken shield laws • 25%
No change • 25%
Introduce new laws • 25%
Official statements or legislative records from state governments
Story
Texas Challenges Shield Laws in $250,000 Lawsuit Against NY Doctor for Telemedicine Abortion Pills
Dec 13, 2024, 08:15 PM
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton has filed a lawsuit against Dr. Margaret Daley Carpenter, a New York physician, for allegedly prescribing abortion pills to a Texas resident via telemedicine, in violation of Texas state law. The lawsuit, filed in Collin County, Texas, marks the first legal challenge to shield laws in Democratic-controlled states designed to protect such prescriptions. Paxton seeks up to $250,000 in monetary relief, asserting that Carpenter's actions led to serious complications for the patient, requiring medical intervention. This case sets up a legal battle between Texas' near-total abortion ban and New York's shield law, which aims to protect doctors from out-of-state prosecution. The lawsuit does not involve criminal charges but focuses on civil penalties for violating Texas' abortion regulations.
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Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change in states' laws • 25%
More than 10 states uphold similar laws • 25%
More than 10 states repeal similar laws • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 33%
Decrease in similar laws • 33%
No significant change • 34%
No change • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
4 to 6 • 25%
1 to 3 • 25%
None • 25%
7 or more • 25%
Increase in similar laws • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in similar laws • 25%
Major protests • 25%
Both protests and rallies • 25%
No significant public response • 25%
Major support rallies • 25%
Doctor wins • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Texas wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Settled • 25%
Paxton found liable • 25%
Other state • 25%
Florida • 25%
Ohio • 25%
Alabama • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No official response • 25%