Market
How will Nvidia respond to China's anti-monopoly probe by mid-2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Legal challenge • 25%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Withdrawal from Chinese market • 25%
Other response • 25%
Official press releases from Nvidia or major news outlets
Story
China Launches Anti-Monopoly Probe into Nvidia Amid Rising US-China Chip Tensions
Dec 15, 2024, 02:30 AM
China has initiated an anti-monopoly investigation into Nvidia, a leading semiconductor manufacturer, amid escalating tensions in the US-China chip industry. This move follows the United States' recent efforts to tighten controls on China's access to advanced semiconductor technology. Analysts suggest that the investigation signals China's response to being targeted by trade and technology sanctions. The probe is perceived as part of a broader strategy by China to assert its position in the semiconductor sector and may pave the way for future negotiations with the Trump administration. This comes after China banned the export of rare minerals to the US, further intensifying the economic rivalry between the two nations.
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Settlement agreement • 25%
No response • 25%
Cooperation with investigation • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Compliance with conditions • 25%
No response • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Shift focus away from China • 25%
Other strategic actions • 25%
Increase lobbying efforts • 25%
Enhance compliance measures • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Other regulatory actions • 25%
Nvidia required to divest assets • 25%
Nvidia fined • 25%
Acquisition reversal • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Operational changes required • 25%
Financial penalties imposed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Fines imposed • 25%
Operational restrictions • 25%
Deal reversal • 25%
No action taken • 25%