Market
How will Liz Cheney's award impact her political career by end of 2025?
3
Joe Biden•Presidential Citizens Medal•Liz Cheney•Republican•Donald Trump•Bennie Thompson•White House•Biden•Cheney•Thompson•American•House•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support within Republican Party • 25%
Decreased support within Republican Party • 25%
No significant change in support • 25%
Increased support across parties • 25%
Analysis from reputable political analysts and media reports
Story
Biden Honors Trump Critic Liz Cheney and Bennie Thompson with Presidential Citizens Medal
Jan 2, 2025, 04:00 PM
President Joe Biden is awarding the Presidential Citizens Medal to former Representative Liz Cheney, a Republican critic of Donald Trump, and Representative Bennie Thompson, recognizing their leadership in the congressional investigation into the January 6, 2021, U.S. Capitol riot. The medal, the nation's second-highest civilian honor, is being awarded at a White House ceremony on Thursday evening to honor 20 individuals for their exemplary service. Biden praised Cheney and Thompson for "putting the American people over party" in leading the House select committee that examined the violent attack by Trump's supporters.
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No significant impact • 25%
Joins a political organization or think tank • 25%
Runs for political office • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Political Commentator • 25%
Run for President • 25%
Run for Senate • 25%
No New Role • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Other • 25%
No impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Joins non-political role • 25%
Runs for office • 25%
Retires from politics • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement or resolution reached • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Formal investigation launched • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Settles out of court • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Exonerated • 25%
Charged with a crime • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Charges filed and trial held • 25%
Charges filed and dismissed • 25%
Public opinion remains divided • 25%
Public opinion not significantly affected • 25%
Viewed as guilty • 25%
Viewed as innocent • 25%
Increased support for Cheney • 25%
Other notable shift • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decreased support for Cheney • 25%
Other • 25%
Democratic • 25%
Independent • 25%
Republican • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%
