Market
How will illegal Channel crossings change after UK's new legislation by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase by more than 10% • 25%
Decrease by more than 10% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Data not available • 25%
Official statistics from the UK Home Office or Border Force
Story
UK Government Introduces Travel Bans and Phone Restrictions to Combat People Smuggling, Says Yvette Cooper
Jan 2, 2025, 08:58 AM
The UK government has announced new measures to combat people smuggling, introducing restrictions under the Border Security, Asylum and Immigration Bill. These measures include travel bans and restrictions on mobile phone and social media use for suspected people smugglers. The Home Office stated that these restrictions aim to disrupt organized crime networks involved in facilitating dangerous Channel crossings. The new legislation allows law enforcement agencies to apply directly to the High Court for an Interim Serious Crime Prevention Order, which can be imposed before a full order is considered. The government's move comes in response to a 25% increase in illegal migrants crossing the English Channel in 2024 compared to the previous year. Home Secretary Yvette Cooper emphasized the need to stop criminal people smugglers who undermine border security and endanger lives.
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Similar markets
No significant measure • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Joint France-UK initiative • 25%
Increased border security • 25%
Other • 25%
Deportation agreements • 25%
Dismantling smuggling networks • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase • 25%
Decrease of 10-25% • 25%
Decrease of more than 25% • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase in smuggling activities • 25%
Successful reduction in smuggling • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Policy reversal or modification • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other measures • 25%
New bilateral agreement • 25%
Increased joint patrols • 25%