Market
How many successful tests will New Glenn perform during its inaugural flight?
3
Blue Origin•Federal Aviation Administration•FAA•New Glenn•Florida•Atlantic Ocean•Launch Complex 36•Low Earth Orbit
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-1 successful tests • 25%
2-3 successful tests • 25%
4-5 successful tests • 25%
6 or more successful tests • 25%
Public announcements from Blue Origin, verified by media coverage
Story
Blue Origin Secures FAA Launch License for New Glenn; Static Fire Test Completed at 7:45 PM for 10 Seconds, Launch Set for January 6, 2025
Dec 27, 2024, 10:12 PM
Blue Origin has received a launch license from the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for its New Glenn rocket, marking a significant milestone for the company. The FAA's Part 450 commercial space launch license authorizes the inaugural flight of New Glenn, which is set to launch from Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida. The license is valid for five years and allows Blue Origin to conduct orbital missions, including a reusable first stage landing on a barge in the Atlantic Ocean. Following the licensing, Blue Origin conducted a successful static fire test of the rocket's seven BE-4 engines on December 28, 2024, at 7:45 PM, which lasted approximately 10 seconds. This test was conducted at Launch Complex 36 and is a critical step ahead of the planned launch, which is scheduled for no earlier than January 6, 2025. The company is now preparing for the first flight of New Glenn, which aims to reach Low Earth Orbit and perform various tests and checkouts.
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Launch postponed again • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
Successful launch but booster not recovered • 25%
Successful launch and booster recovery • 25%
Failed orbit, successful booster landing • 25%
Failed orbit and booster landing • 25%
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Successful flight and landing • 25%
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Launch delayed • 25%
Launch failure • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
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Successful launch and landing • 25%
Successful test • 25%
Test failure • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Test postponed • 25%
Failure to reach orbit • 25%
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Launch postponed • 25%
Complete success • 25%
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