Market
How many Senators will publicly support Pete Hegseth before the confirmation vote?
3
Pete Hegseth•Donald Trump•Hegseth•ProPublica•West Point•Bill Cassidy•Geraldo Rivera•Lisa Murkowski•Susan Collins
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 60 • 25%
61 to 70 • 25%
More than 70 • 25%
Statements from Senators or credible news outlets
Story
Trump's Defense Pick Hegseth Battles Confirmation Amid Media Smears, DEI Policy Debate
Dec 11, 2024, 02:38 PM
Pete Hegseth, President-elect Donald Trump's nominee for Secretary of Defense, is facing a contentious confirmation process amid allegations of media smears and misinformation. Hegseth preemptively addressed a forthcoming report by ProPublica, which he claimed would falsely state he was not accepted to West Point. He provided evidence in the form of a signed acceptance letter from 1999. His nomination has garnered support from key figures like Senator Bill Cassidy, who praised Hegseth's service to the country, and Geraldo Rivera, who endorsed him for the role. However, Senator Lisa Murkowski has not committed to supporting Hegseth's confirmation. Hegseth's stance on military policy, including his plans to eliminate diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) hires, has also stirred debate. He is currently meeting with Senators, including Susan Collins, to secure votes for his confirmation.
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0-5 • 25%
11-15 • 25%
16+ • 25%
6-10 • 25%
0-2 Senators • 25%
More than 8 Senators • 25%
3-5 Senators • 25%
6-8 Senators • 25%
0-2 Senators • 25%
6-8 Senators • 25%
More than 8 Senators • 25%
3-5 Senators • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
21 to 30 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
11 to 15 • 25%
More than 15 • 25%
Less than 6 • 25%
6 to 10 • 25%
More than 15 Democrats • 25%
6-10 Democrats • 25%
0-5 Democrats • 25%
11-15 Democrats • 25%
Less than 50% support • 25%
50-74% support • 25%
75-90% support • 25%
Over 90% support • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Confirmed with majority Republican support • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with bipartisan support • 25%
More than 10 Democrats support • 25%
6-10 Democrats support • 25%
Strictly party-line vote • 25%
1-5 Democrats support • 25%
16 or more Senators • 25%
6-10 Senators • 25%
0-5 Senators • 25%
11-15 Senators • 25%