Market
How many orbital missions will Blue Origin conduct with New Glenn by the end of 2025?
3
Blue Origin•Federal Aviation Administration•FAA•New Glenn•Florida•Atlantic Ocean•New Glenn rocket•Launch Complex 36
Resolution / Starting Odds
0 • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Launch records from Blue Origin or space industry reports
Story
Blue Origin Granted 5-Year FAA Launch License for New Glenn from Cape Canaveral
Dec 27, 2024, 08:26 PM
Blue Origin has been granted a commercial space launch license by the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) for its New Glenn rocket under Part 450, marking a significant step towards its inaugural launch. The license authorizes Blue Origin to conduct orbital missions from the Cape Canaveral Space Force Station in Florida, with the reusable first stage landing on a barge in the Atlantic Ocean. The license is valid for five years. Blue Origin is also preparing for a static fire test of the New Glenn rocket, which is crucial for the rocket's readiness for launch. The company has been conducting tanking tests at Launch Complex 36, with the static fire test involving the ignition of all seven BE-4 engines on the rocket's first stage.
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Similar markets
9 or more launches • 25%
0-2 launches • 25%
3-5 launches • 25%
6-8 launches • 25%
More than 8 launches • 25%
0-2 launches • 25%
3-5 launches • 25%
6-8 launches • 25%
More than 15 flights • 25%
0-5 flights • 25%
11-15 flights • 25%
6-10 flights • 25%
Zero • 25%
Three or more • 25%
Two • 25%
One • 25%
Failure • 25%
Success • 25%
Mission Cancelled • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Geostationary orbit placement • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful booster landing • 25%
Manned mission • 25%
Commercial satellite launch • 25%
Second successful launch • 25%
Launch of Kuiper satellites • 25%
Manned mission • 25%
Successful booster landing • 25%
Other • 25%
Commercial satellite deployment • 25%
Crewed mission announcement • 25%
Commercial contract announcement • 25%
No significant milestone • 25%
Technical upgrade announcement • 25%
Another launch attempt • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other milestone • 25%
Second New Glenn flight • 25%
New Shepard mission • 25%
Crewed mission announcement • 25%