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How many North Korean troops will be in Russia by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 10,000 • 25%
10,000 to 12,000 • 25%
More than 12,000 • 25%
All troops withdrawn • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies, official military statements
Story
U.S. Intelligence: North Korea Sends Up to 12,000 Troops to Russia; Initiative Reportedly Kim Jong-un's with No Benefits Received
Dec 23, 2024, 06:24 PM
Recent reports indicate that North Korea has deployed troops to assist Russia in its ongoing conflict in Ukraine, with U.S. intelligence suggesting that the initiative originated from Kim Jong-un rather than Vladimir Putin. According to sources, North Korea has sent at least 10,000 soldiers, with estimates rising to 12,000. This move is perceived by some Western officials as evidence of Russia's desperation for support. Despite the deployment, North Korea has reportedly not received any material benefits in return for its assistance to Russia. The New York Times and other outlets have confirmed that the idea of sending troops was proposed by North Korea, which Putin accepted promptly.
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More than 18,000 troops • 25%
16,001-18,000 troops • 25%
14,001-16,000 troops • 25%
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15,001 to 20,000 • 25%
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10,000 to 15,000 • 25%
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1001 to 2000 • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
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500 to 1000 • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
Unknown outcome • 25%
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Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%
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51 to 100 • 25%
More than 9,000 • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
7,001 to 9,000 • 25%
5,000 to 7,000 • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
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No change • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%