Market
How many healthcare CEOs will be targeted in similar incidents by December 31, 2025?
2
Luigi Mangione•UnitedHealthcare•Brian Thompson•New York City•Mangione•Pennsylvania•NYPD•Jessica Tisch•New York•Unabomber
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1-2 • 25%
3-4 • 25%
5 or more • 25%
Police reports or credible news sources confirming such incidents.
Story
26-Year-Old Suspect Luigi Mangione Linked to CEO's Murder with Ghost Gun Evidence
Dec 11, 2024, 08:23 PM
Law enforcement authorities have linked 26-year-old Luigi Mangione to the fatal shooting of UnitedHealthcare CEO Brian Thompson in New York City. Fingerprints belonging to Mangione matched those found on a water bottle recovered near the scene, sources say. The ghost gun found in Mangione's possession when he was arrested in Pennsylvania matched shell casings found at the crime scene, according to NYPD Commissioner Jessica Tisch. Mangione was arrested on Monday at a McDonald's in Pennsylvania and is currently contesting extradition to New York. A notebook containing his alleged plans, including references to the Unabomber's manifesto, was also recovered. His family has expressed they are 'devastated' by the events. Authorities are concerned about possible copycat incidents as 'wanted' posters targeting healthcare CEOs have appeared in New York City.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Public condemnation only • 25%
Policy changes or reforms • 25%
Increased security measures • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Grudge • 25%
Corporate Espionage • 25%
Financial Gain • 25%
Political reasons • 25%
Financial gain • 25%
Unknown or other motive • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Former employee or associate • 25%
Known criminal • 25%
Unknown individual with no prior connection • 25%
Not identified by deadline • 25%
Personal vendetta • 25%
Corporate-related motive • 25%
Random act of violence • 25%
Motive remains unknown • 25%
No significant change • 25%
More blame on shooter • 25%
Other factors become more prominent • 25%
More blame on insurance companies • 25%
Not apprehended by deadline • 25%
Central Park • 25%
Outside New York City • 25%
In New York City but outside Central Park • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Case remains unsolved • 25%
Suspect arrested and charged • 25%
Case closed without suspect • 25%
Suspect identified but not arrested • 25%