Market
How many former Latin American presidents will be declared 'persona non grata' by Venezuela by the end of 2025?
2
Jorge Rodríguez•Venezuelan Parliament•Edmundo González Urrutia•Venezuela•Simón Bolívar•Rodríguez•Latin American•Eric Farnsworth•González•Venezuelan
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
One • 25%
Two to three • 25%
More than three • 25%
Official announcements from the Venezuelan government or reputable news outlets
Story
Jorge Rodríguez Proposes Arrest of Edmundo González Urrutia for Treason and Declares Former Latin American Presidents 'Non Grata'
Jan 5, 2025, 06:09 PM
Jorge Rodríguez, the President of the Venezuelan Parliament, announced that Edmundo González Urrutia would face arrest if he returns to Venezuela, citing violations of the Simón Bolívar law and charges of usurpation of functions and treason. Rodríguez also declared that former Latin American presidents attempting to enter Venezuela without authorization would be designated as 'personas non grata' and treated as invaders. He emphasized that unauthorized entry by foreigners would be considered an act of invasion. This stance reflects a broader warning to neighboring countries regarding the treatment of their citizens in Venezuela, as noted by Eric Farnsworth, a former U.S. diplomat. Rodríguez has called for parliamentary support for the arrest request against González, reinforcing the Venezuelan government's strict approach to foreign political figures.
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Similar markets
Neither • 25%
Felipe Calderón • 25%
Vicente Fox • 25%
Both Calderón and Fox • 25%
Issue another 'persona non grata' declaration • 25%
Impose travel restrictions • 25%
No further action • 25%
Request diplomatic talks with Mexico • 25%
Condemnation from international organizations • 25%
Support from other countries • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Less than 5 countries • 25%
5 to 10 countries • 25%
11 to 20 countries • 25%
More than 20 countries • 25%
No resolution or escalation • 25%
Resolution through diplomatic talks • 25%
Escalation to economic sanctions • 25%
Mediation by international body • 25%
No foreign ex-presidents visit • 25%
Detained upon entry • 25%
Allowed entry • 25%
Persona non grata • 25%
Continued non-recognition • 25%
Partial recognition • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
Full recognition • 25%
More than 10 countries • 25%
3-5 countries • 25%
6-10 countries • 25%
0-2 countries • 25%
None of the above • 25%
United States • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
General acceptance • 25%
Edmundo González Urrutia • 25%
Nicolás Maduro • 25%
Other • 25%
María Corina Machado • 25%