Market
How many FBI agents will retire or resign by March 31, 2025, after Kash Patel's confirmation?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
Official FBI announcements or credible news sources reporting on the number of retirements or resignations
Story
Mass Resignations Expected at FBI After Trump's Nomination of Kash Patel as FBI Director, Including Diversity Office Staff
Dec 1, 2024, 02:10 AM
Following President Donald Trump's nomination of Kash Patel as FBI Director, multiple reports indicate that mass resignations are anticipated within the bureau. Sources within the FBI suggest that some agents are considering retirement in response to Patel's appointment. Additionally, staff members from the FBI's Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion office have threatened to resign if Patel is confirmed. The situation reflects significant internal dissent regarding the new leadership choice.
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Confirmed • 33%
Pending after March 31, 2025 • 25%
Withdrawn • 34%
Rejected • 33%
60-69 • 25%
70 or more • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50-59 • 25%
Complete overhaul • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Partial changes • 25%
Unclear • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Confirmed with narrow support • 25%
Not confirmed • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed with majority support • 25%
No Vote • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Rejected by Senate • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Nomination pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Pending • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
6-10 Democratic Votes • 25%
0-5 Democratic Votes • 25%
More than 15 Democratic Votes • 25%
11-15 Democratic Votes • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Delayed • 25%
Other • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Confirmed • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Pending • 25%
Pending • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Confirmed • 25%