Market
How many defendants will have restrictions lifted by end of 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
None • 25%
1-3 defendants • 25%
4-6 defendants • 25%
7-9 defendants • 25%
Official court rulings or announcements regarding changes to restrictions
Story
Federal Judge Bars Stewart Rhodes and Eight Other January 6 Defendants from Entering Washington, D.C. and U.S. Capitol Without Court Permission
Jan 24, 2025, 03:34 PM
A federal judge, Amit Mehta, has imposed new restrictions on Stewart Rhodes, the former leader of the far-right Oath Keepers group, and seven other defendants from the January 6 Capitol riot. The ruling requires these individuals, whose sentences were commuted by former President Donald Trump, to obtain court permission before entering Washington, D.C., or the U.S. Capitol. This decision alters their conditions of release from prison, effectively barring them from the Capitol building and its grounds, although they may still access nearby office buildings. The ruling comes after Rhodes was reportedly seen in the Capitol area earlier this week.
View original story
Similar markets
Other resolution • 25%
All defendants released • 25%
Partial release • 25%
No release • 25%
Both Life Imprisonment • 25%
One Death Penalty, One Life Imprisonment • 25%
Other • 25%
Both Death Penalty • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Sentences increased • 25%
Sentences upheld • 25%
Sentences reduced • 25%
Released without charges • 25%
Deported • 25%
Pending trial • 25%
Convicted • 25%
101 to 200 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
More than 200 • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
1500 or more • 25%
1000 to 1499 • 25%
500 to 999 • 25%
1-10 • 25%
More than 20 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
None • 25%
0-5 petitions • 25%
More than 15 petitions • 25%
11-15 petitions • 25%
6-10 petitions • 25%
10-20% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
21-30% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%