Market
How many attendees will be present at Trump's indoor inauguration on January 20, 2025?
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Initial Security Perimeter•National Mall•Secret Service•Trump•Capitol Hill•Washington Convention Center•White House
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 500 • 25%
500 to 1000 • 25%
1001 to 2000 • 25%
More than 2000 • 25%
Official reports or estimates from credible news organizations
Story
Trump's January 20 Inauguration Moved Indoors Due to Expanded Security Concerns
Jan 18, 2025, 11:32 PM
In anticipation of President-elect Donald J. Trump's inauguration on January 20, 2025, security measures have been heightened around Washington D.C. The U.S. Secret Service has expanded the Initial Security Perimeter around the National Mall and other key locations. Reports suggest that the decision to move the inauguration ceremony indoors was influenced by security concerns, particularly due to the risks associated with open spaces near the U.S. Capitol. Sources within the Secret Service indicated that there were credible threats to Trump's safety, prompting the change from an outdoor to an indoor venue. This move has led to widespread closures around Capitol Hill, the Washington Convention Center, and the White House as part of the security preparations for the event.
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Similar markets
Less than 100 • 25%
100 to 500 • 25%
501 to 1000 • 25%
More than 1000 • 25%
200,000 to 300,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
1000 to 1499 • 25%
1500 or more • 25%
500 to 999 • 25%
Less than 500 • 25%
Only Xi Jinping attends • 25%
Multiple foreign leaders attend • 25%
Only non-heads of state attend • 25%
No foreign leaders attend • 25%
Michelle Bolsonaro only • 25%
Both Bolsonaro and Michelle • 25%
Neither • 25%
Bolsonaro only • 25%
First Ball • 25%
Second Ball • 25%
All Equal • 25%
Third Ball • 25%
Other Notable Figures • 25%
US Political Figures • 25%
Foreign Leaders • 25%
Bolsonaro • 25%
Indoor Venue • 25%
Other • 25%
National Mall • 25%
Undisclosed Location • 25%