Market
Group with highest detentions in ICE sweeps by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Undocumented immigrants with criminal records • 25%
Undocumented immigrants without criminal records • 25%
Asylum seekers • 25%
Visa overstays • 25%
Official reports from ICE, news reports from major media outlets
Story
Trump to Launch Aggressive Immigration Crackdown, Targeting ICE Sweeps and Sanctuary Cities
Jan 17, 2025, 03:22 AM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to launch an aggressive immigration policy upon taking office, with plans to issue a series of executive orders aimed at immigration enforcement. Trump's team is finalizing actions that include Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) sweeps in major metropolitan areas, deploying additional Pentagon resources to the U.S.-Mexico border, and imposing new restrictions on who can enter the country. These measures are expected to reverse several Biden-era immigration policies. Trump's incoming deputy chief of staff, Stephen Miller, has emphasized that securing the border is a top national security priority. The administration's focus will initially be on undocumented immigrants with criminal records, but operations could also lead to the detention of others encountered during these sweeps. Trump's plans also involve targeting sanctuary cities, which have policies limiting cooperation with federal immigration enforcement.
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South • 25%
West • 25%
Northeast • 25%
Midwest • 25%
Schools • 25%
Other • 25%
Churches • 25%
Hospitals • 25%
Texas • 25%
Florida • 25%
California • 25%
Arizona • 25%
New York • 25%
Florida • 25%
Texas • 25%
California • 25%
Undocumented immigrants • 25%
Visa overstays • 25%
Asylum seekers • 25%
Criminals with felony convictions • 25%
Schools • 25%
Hospitals • 25%
Churches • 25%
Weddings/Funerals • 25%
Other • 25%
Public safety threats • 25%
Criminals • 25%
Non-criminals • 25%
Mexico • 25%
El Salvador • 25%
Honduras • 25%
Guatemala • 25%
Miami • 25%
Chicago • 25%
San Diego • 25%
New York • 25%
Undocumented immigrants with criminal records • 25%
Other • 25%
Recent entrants during Biden administration • 25%
Undocumented immigrants without criminal records • 25%
Immigrants • 25%
Neither significantly • 25%
LGBTQ+ community • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Murder • 25%
Other violent crimes • 25%
Drug-related offenses • 25%
Sexual assault • 25%