Market
Group most prominently supporting James McIntyre post-assault by mid-2025?
2
Nancy Mace•South Carolina•Capitol•James McIntyre•Cook County•Illinois•Rayburn House Office Building•Mace•Capitol Police•McIntyre•Congress
Resolution / Starting Odds
Transgender rights groups • 25%
Civil liberties organizations • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from advocacy groups and media coverage
Story
Transgender Rights Activist James McIntyre Assaults Rep. Nancy Mace, Causing Minor Injuries
Dec 11, 2024, 01:05 PM
U.S. Representative Nancy Mace (R-South Carolina) was assaulted on Capitol grounds by James McIntyre, a 33-year-old transgender rights activist from Cook County, Illinois. The incident occurred around 6 p.m. on Tuesday in the Rayburn House Office Building, resulting in minor injuries to Mace's arm and wrist, necessitating a wrist brace. Capitol Police arrested McIntyre following the altercation. Mace has been vocal about protecting women's spaces, which has reportedly led to threats from trans and queer activists. The suspect was charged with assaulting a member of Congress.
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Similar markets
Other Outcome • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Support for Mace increases • 25%
Minimal public interest • 25%
Polarized reactions • 25%
Support for McIntyre increases • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Kamala Harris • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Other • 25%
Convicted of assault • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Acquitted of all charges • 25%
Convicted of assault • 25%
Plea deal reached • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Support for Mace • 25%
Calls for policy change • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Support for McIntyre • 25%
No public support • 25%
Current cast members • 25%
Former cast members • 25%
Family members • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty of assault • 25%
Seen as assault • 25%
Little public interest • 25%
Divided opinion • 25%
Seen as misunderstanding • 25%