Market
FBI identifies responsible party for Cybertruck explosion by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Identified as a terrorist group • 25%
Identified as an individual • 25%
No responsible party identified • 25%
Other • 25%
Official FBI statement or press release
Story
Tesla Cybertruck Carrying Fireworks Explodes Outside Trump Hotel; FBI Probes Possible Terrorism
Jan 1, 2025, 11:49 PM
A Tesla Cybertruck exploded outside President-elect Donald Trump's hotel in Las Vegas on New Year's Day, killing the driver and injuring seven others, authorities said. The incident occurred near the entrance of the Trump International Hotel Las Vegas. Police said the vehicle appeared to be carrying fireworks when it caught fire and exploded. The FBI is investigating the cause of the explosion, including the possibility of an act of terrorism. The identities of the victims have not been released.
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Domestic Terror Group • 25%
International Terror Group • 25%
Lone Wolf • 25%
Unknown • 25%
No one held responsible • 25%
Other • 25%
Individual perpetrator • 25%
Terrorist organization • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Vendetta • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Unidentified Group • 25%
Lone Actor • 25%
Known Terrorist Group • 25%
No Group Identified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Terrorist intent • 25%
Suicide due to PTSD • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Accidental explosion • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Confirmed advanced drone tech used • 25%
Confirmed VBIED only • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%
Other • 25%
Bomb • 25%
Other • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Fireworks • 25%