Market
Escalation in military actions between Israel and Yemen by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements or reports from the Israeli or Yemeni governments, or reputable news agencies
Story
Israeli Navy Intercepts Drone from Yemen Over Mediterranean Sea, Destroyed Before Entering Airspace
Dec 16, 2024, 05:20 AM
The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reported that an Israeli Navy missile ship successfully intercepted a hostile drone launched from Yemen over the Mediterranean Sea. The incident occurred shortly before the drone could enter Israeli airspace. This interception highlights ongoing security concerns in the region, particularly regarding unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) that may pose threats to Israeli territory. The IDF confirmed that the drone was destroyed without any reported breaches of Israeli borders.
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Cyber attack • 25%
Ballistic missile attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Drone attack • 25%
Retaliatory airstrike by Israel • 25%
Ballistic missile launch by Houthis • 25%
Drone attack by Houthis • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Houthi drone strike on Israel • 25%
Israel airstrike on Houthi targets • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Other significant military action • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No reported damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Limited damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%
Significant damage to Houthi infrastructure • 25%