Market
Entity most affected financially by Trump's lawsuit by end of 2025
3
Donald Trump•Polk County•Iowa•Ann Selzer•Des Moines Register•Iowa Consumer Fraud Act•Kamala Harris•Trump
Resolution / Starting Odds
Des Moines Register • 25%
Pollster Ann Selzer • 25%
Trump • 25%
No significant financial impact • 25%
Financial reports, settlements, or judgments
Story
Trump Sues Des Moines Register and Pollster for 'Election Interference' Over Inaccurate Iowa Poll
Dec 17, 2024, 12:34 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has filed a lawsuit in Polk County, Iowa, on Monday night against pollster Ann Selzer and the Des Moines Register, accusing them of 'brazen election interference' and fraud under the Iowa Consumer Fraud Act. The lawsuit pertains to a final pre-election poll released just days before the election, which showed Vice President Kamala Harris leading in Iowa by 3 points. Trump, who ultimately won Iowa by 13 points, alleges that the inaccurate poll misled voters and was intentionally deceptive. He described the poll as 'fraud' and 'election interference.'
View original story
Similar markets
Cease operations • 25%
No impact • 25%
Reduction in polling activities • 25%
Change in methodology • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
Judgment reduced • 25%
Case settled • 25%
Increased legal scrutiny • 25%
Withdrawal from political race • 25%
Loss of political support • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Case settled out of court • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
Judgment reduced • 25%
Trump wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
CBS wins • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Trump • 25%
Settlement • 25%
Dismissed • 25%
Court ruling in favor of Des Moines Register and Selzer • 25%
Nippon Steel • 25%
Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. • 25%
United Steelworkers Union • 25%
U.S. Steel • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Ongoing legal proceedings • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
International figures • 25%
No significant support • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Business leaders • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Ruled in Favor of Des Moines Register • 33%
Dismissed • 33%
Trump wins • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Trump loses • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Settled • 33%
Ruled in Favor of Trump • 33%