Market
Country granting asylum to Navalny's lawyers by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other/None • 25%
Official government announcements or credible news reports on asylum grants
Story
Russian Court Sentences Navalny's Lawyers to 3.5 to 5.5 Years for Extremism Amid Kremlin Crackdown
Jan 17, 2025, 08:12 AM
Three lawyers who previously represented the late Russian opposition leader Alexei Navalny have been sentenced to prison terms ranging from 3.5 to 5.5 years by a Russian court in the town of Petushki, east of Moscow. Vadim Kobzev, Igor Sergunin, and Alexei Liptser were convicted on charges of participating in an 'extremist organization.' The sentencing is seen as part of the Kremlin's ongoing efforts to suppress dissent, following Navalny's death in a Russian prison camp in February 2024. The lawyers were arrested in October 2023, amid increasing pressure on Navalny's associates. The case against the lawyers is considered politically motivated, aimed at deterring legal representation for opposition figures.
View original story
Similar markets
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
European Union country • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
France • 25%
Estonia • 25%
Germany • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Germany • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%
Estonia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
France • 25%
Germany • 25%
Estonia • 25%
Release of lawyers • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Germany • 25%
United States • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Other country • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Diplomatic actions taken • 25%
Strong condemnation only • 25%
Diplomatic actions • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Condemnation without action • 25%
No significant response • 25%
United States • 25%
France • 25%
United Kingdom • 25%
Germany • 25%