Market
Control of Damascus by Mar 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
ISIS or other militant groups • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible international news agencies and official announcements
Story
Trump Says Assad Fled Syria as Rebels Seize Damascus After Russia Withdraws Support
Dec 8, 2024, 08:09 AM
President-elect Donald Trump announced that Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has fled his country after losing support from Russia. Trump stated that Russia, led by President Vladimir Putin, is no longer interested in protecting Assad, citing Russia's focus on Ukraine and economic challenges. He also noted that Iran is in a weakened position due to Israel's military successes. Reports indicate that Syrian rebels have taken control of Damascus, marking the collapse of the Baath regime and the end of the Assad family's decades-long rule. Unconfirmed reports suggest that Assad's plane was shot down during an attempt to leave the country.
View original story
Similar markets
Islamic State • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Iranian Forces • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Russian forces • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Opposition forces • 25%
Other Rebel Factions • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Al-Qaeda Offshoot Rebels • 25%
Newly Formed Coalition Government • 25%
Islamic State • 25%
Syrian National Coalition • 25%
Bashar al-Assad loyalists • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Government Forces • 25%
Other Rebel Groups • 25%
Syrian government • 25%
Armed Opposition • 25%
Joint Control • 25%
Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Russian forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Opposition forces • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Other • 25%
Joint Control • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Rebels • 25%
Syrian Government • 25%
Joint Administration • 25%
Shared control • 25%
Controlled by Syrian government • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Rebels take control • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Controlled by Syrian rebels • 25%
Other • 25%
Assad retains control • 25%
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) • 25%
Other • 25%
Syrian Defense Ministry • 25%
A new armed faction • 25%
International Coalition • 25%
Assad Regime • 25%
Rebel Forces • 25%
Other • 25%