Market
China's diplomatic response to Zhou's arrest by mid-2025?
2
Yinpiao Zhou•Chinese•United States•San Francisco International Airport•China•Vandenberg Space Force Base•Santa Barbara County•California•Department of Justice•Zhou•Brentwood
Resolution / Starting Odds
Formal Protest • 25%
Diplomatic Discussions • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from the Chinese government and international news reports
Story
Yinpiao Zhou Arrested for Drone Surveillance Over Vandenberg Space Force Base
Dec 11, 2024, 01:35 AM
Yinpiao Zhou, a 39-year-old Chinese national and lawful permanent resident of the United States, was arrested at San Francisco International Airport on December 9, 2024, prior to boarding a flight to China. He faces federal charges for allegedly flying a drone over Vandenberg Space Force Base in Santa Barbara County, California, and taking photographs of the facility. The arrest was announced by the Department of Justice, highlighting concerns over unauthorized surveillance of sensitive military installations. Federal investigators reported that Zhou, who resides in Brentwood, was apprehended moments before boarding his flight.
View original story
Similar markets
No official response • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Denial of allegations • 25%
Retaliatory measures against the UK • 25%
Denial of Involvement • 25%
Request for Diplomatic Talks • 25%
Retaliatory Measures • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
North Korea • 25%
United States • 25%
No response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Economic measures • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Accusations of Bias • 25%
Denial of Involvement • 25%
No Official Comment • 25%
Other Response • 25%
Reduction in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Increase in diplomatic engagements • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No response • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military drills • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
Issue a formal protest • 25%
Recall ambassador from U.S. • 25%
Impose economic sanctions on Taiwan • 25%
No significant diplomatic response • 25%
Declined attendance • 25%
Other response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Confirmed attendance • 25%