Market
Changes in South Korean military policy by December 31, 2025, post-martial law attempt
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter controls implemented • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased military autonomy • 25%
Other reforms • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or defense ministry
Story
Yoon Suk Yeol Authorized Military to Fire During Failed Martial Law Bid, Prosecutors Report
Dec 28, 2024, 08:50 AM
South Korea's suspended president, Yoon Suk Yeol, reportedly authorized the military to use firearms during a failed attempt to impose martial law, according to a prosecutor's report. The report indicates that Yoon's directive was aimed at allowing the military to enter parliament if necessary. This development has raised concerns regarding the extent of Yoon's actions during the martial law bid, which has been met with significant scrutiny from legal authorities and the public alike.
View original story
Similar markets
Other • 25%
Martial law leads to political resolution • 25%
Martial law lifted peacefully • 25%
Martial law escalates to civil unrest • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
Government transition • 25%
Martial law extended • 25%
Ongoing unrest • 25%
Martial law continues • 25%
Government overthrown • 25%
Other significant outcome • 25%
Martial law lifted • 25%
President Yoon steps down • 25%
Other leadership changes • 25%
No change in leadership • 25%
Cabinet reshuffle • 25%
Improved security situation • 25%
Public pressure • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%