Market
Biden Administration to Acknowledge Covid-19 Lab Leak Theory by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official statements or press releases from the White House or related government agencies
Story
Biden Administration Allegedly Suppressed Evidence of Covid-19 Lab Leak from Wuhan Lab
Dec 26, 2024, 03:30 PM
New revelations from the Wall Street Journal indicate that the Biden administration may have suppressed evidence suggesting a lab leak origin for the Covid-19 virus. Intelligence experts from the FBI and the National Center for Medical Intelligence at the Defense Intelligence Agency reportedly concluded with moderate confidence that the virus was likely manipulated in a laboratory in Wuhan, China, through risky gain-of-function research. Despite these findings, the FBI was excluded from a 2021 briefing to President Biden on the virus's origins, where other intelligence agencies supported the natural zoonotic theory. Additionally, scientists at the National Center for Medical Intelligence were instructed to stop sharing their findings on the lab leak hypothesis, which were at odds with their parent agency's assessment. The administration's actions suggest a concerted effort to downplay the lab leak theory in favor of the natural origins narrative.
View original story
Similar markets
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
FBI • 25%
None by deadline • 25%
White House • 25%
DIA • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Insufficient evidence • 25%
Mistake or oversight • 25%
No justification given • 25%
National security concerns • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Acknowledgement and apology • 25%
Denial of allegations • 25%
No official response • 25%
Acknowledgement with justification • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
