Market
Acting President of South Korea by Mar 31, 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Choi Sang-mok • 25%
New appointee • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from the South Korean government or credible news sources
Story
South Korea's CIO Seeks Arrest of Yoon Suk Yeol After Martial Law Standoff
Jan 4, 2025, 11:18 AM
South Korea's anti-corruption investigative agency, the Corruption Investigation Office for High-Ranking Officials (CIO), attempted to execute an arrest warrant for impeached President Yoon Suk Yeol on January 3, 2025. The warrant was issued in connection to Yoon's brief declaration of martial law on December 3, 2024, which had been revoked by the National Assembly hours later. Investigators, accompanied by police, faced resistance from approximately 200 security personnel and military troops at the presidential residence in Seoul, leading to a six-hour standoff. Some security personnel were reportedly armed. The CIO ultimately suspended the arrest attempt, citing the obstruction. On January 4, the CIO requested Acting President Choi Sang-mok, who is also the Finance Minister, to order the presidential security service to comply with the warrant. The acting president has not yet responded to the request.
View original story
Similar markets
Yoon Suk Yeol reinstated • 25%
Interim leader appointed • 25%
Current Vice President • 25%
Other • 25%
Another appointed official • 25%
Position vacant • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%
Han Duck-soo • 33%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 33%
Choi Sang-mok • 33%
Other • 1%
Other • 25%
Interim leader • 25%
Prime Minister • 25%
Deputy Prime Minister Choo Kyung-ho • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo • 25%
Interim President Appointed by Court • 25%
No acting President appointed • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo • 25%
Deputy Prime Minister Choo Kyung-ho • 25%
Another government official • 25%
Kim Jin-pyo • 25%
Other • 25%
Chung Sye-kyun • 25%
Lee Nak-yon • 25%
Other • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%
Han Duck-soo • 25%
Lee Jae-myung • 25%
Choi Sang-mok • 25%
Deputy Prime Minister Choo Kyung-ho • 25%
Speaker of the National Assembly Kim Jin-pyo • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo • 25%
Other • 25%
Prime Minister Han Duck-soo • 25%
Other • 25%
A new interim leader • 25%
Deputy Prime Minister Choo Kyung-ho • 25%
Other • 25%
Park Chong-jun • 25%
Choi Sang-mok • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%
Other • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%
Han Duck-soo • 25%
Choi Sang-mok • 25%
Other • 25%
Military leader • 25%
Opposition leader • 25%
Yoon Suk Yeol • 25%