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Main reason cited for Russia entering peace talks by December 31, 2025
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military pressure • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Internal political reasons • 25%
Statements from Russian or Ukrainian governments or major news outlets
Story
Trump's Treasury Nominee Bessent Supports Tougher Sanctions on Russian Oil to End Ukraine War
Jan 16, 2025, 04:54 PM
Scott Bessent, Donald Trump's nominee for Treasury Secretary, has expressed his readiness to intensify U.S. sanctions on Russia, particularly targeting the oil sector, if directed by President Trump. During his Senate confirmation hearing, Bessent criticized the Biden administration's approach to sanctions, stating that they were not 'fulsome enough' due to concerns about raising gas prices during the election. He suggested that stronger sanctions could bring Russia to the negotiating table to end the war in Ukraine. Bessent's stance includes 100% support for an increase in sanctions on Russian oil majors to levels that would compel Russia to engage in peace talks.
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Territorial concession • 25%
No concession • 25%
Economic concession • 25%
Political concession • 25%
Economic reasons • 25%
Broader conflicts • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
No significant outcome • 25%
Economic cooperation • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic constraints • 25%
International diplomatic pressure • 25%
Strategic redeployment to Africa • 25%
Ceasefire without conditions • 25%
Demilitarization • 25%
Non-aligned status for Ukraine • 25%
Other or no agreement • 25%
NATO non-expansion guarantee • 25%
Lifting of sanctions • 25%
Other condition • 25%
Territorial concessions • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Security concerns • 25%
Political strategy • 25%
Strategic redeployment to Ukraine • 25%
Economic constraints • 25%
Diplomatic agreements • 25%
Other • 25%