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Legal opinion on 22nd Amendment interpretation by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Majority support Bannon's interpretation • 25%
Majority oppose Bannon's interpretation • 25%
Opinions remain divided • 25%
No major opinions published • 25%
Publications from major legal journals or statements from recognized constitutional law experts
Story
Steve Bannon Proposes Trump Could Exploit 22nd Amendment Loophole for Third Term in 2028
Dec 16, 2024, 05:30 AM
Steve Bannon, former chief strategist to President-elect Donald Trump, has suggested that Trump could run for a third presidential term in 2028, citing a potential loophole in the 22nd Amendment of the U.S. Constitution. Speaking at the New York Young Republican Club’s gala, Bannon argued that since the amendment does not specify that terms must be consecutive, Trump could legally seek office again. This proposal was met with enthusiasm from the audience, despite Trump himself having previously indicated he would not run in 2028. The 22nd Amendment limits a president to two terms in office, whether consecutive or not, and Bannon's interpretation has sparked debate among legal experts and political commentators. Trump's second term is set to begin on January 20, 2025.
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Eligible • 25%
Not Eligible • 25%
Unclear • 25%
No Opinion Issued • 25%
Non-consecutive terms not allowed • 25%
Other • 25%
Non-consecutive terms allowed • 25%
Unresolved • 25%
Majority agree with blocking • 25%
Majority disagree with blocking • 25%
Evenly split • 25%
No consensus reached • 25%
Majority agree applicable • 25%
No consensus • 25%
Evenly divided • 25%
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Legal challenge ongoing • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Allowed to take office • 25%
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Pending decision • 25%
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Challenge dismissed • 25%
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Majority oppose • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Majority support • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
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Other opinion • 25%
Majority support • 25%