Loading...
Market
Labour Party's response to outcome of Ivor Caplin's legal case by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Expulsion from the party • 25%
Suspension • 25%
No action • 25%
Other disciplinary action • 25%
Official Labour Party statements or press releases
Story
Former Labour MP Ivor Caplin Arrested for Inappropriate Online Behavior, Suspended in June 2024 After 30-Year Political Career
Jan 12, 2025, 09:33 AM
Ivor Caplin, a former Labour MP, has been arrested following allegations of inappropriate online behavior, including attempts to engage with an underage boy. Caplin's social media accounts have revealed a series of disturbing posts, including explicit content. He was previously suspended by the Labour Party in June 2024 due to serious allegations but remained active until his arrest. Critics have pointed out a perceived lack of media coverage compared to similar incidents involving members of other political parties. Caplin's online activity reportedly included running a site with explicit material, raising questions about his conduct during his nearly 30-year political career.
View original story
Similar markets
Reinstatement • 25%
Suspension extended • 25%
Expulsion from the party • 25%
No action • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Other Outcome • 25%
Charges Dropped • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Charged and acquitted • 25%
Charged and convicted • 25%
Other • 25%
Introduce alternative support measures • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Announce a new review • 25%
Conservatives support compensation • 25%
Neither supports compensation • 25%
Both support compensation • 25%
Labour supports compensation • 25%
No Charges Filed • 25%
Investigation Ongoing • 25%
Other • 25%
Charges Filed • 25%
Increased regulation • 25%
Minor adjustments • 25%
Major deregulation • 25%
No change • 25%